Friday, August 14, 2009

The U.S. is Printing Money too, but Right Now they are Saved Because they are the World’s Reserve Currency (and thus a “Safe Haven”).

Now, you may say but isn’t the U.S. doing the same thing? After all, their economy is slowing down. They are printing money too.

I would say, while I won’t deny that point, the U.S. dollar presently benefits from what is called the “safe haven bid”. What does that mean? It means that investors all over the globe are running to the safety of the U.S. dollar because it’s the world’s reserve currency right now.

In other words, if there’s one currency on the face of the earth that you are most likely to keep and continue to use, it’s the one that most of the goods are priced in all over the world. For example, gold, oil, wheat, soybeans, lumber, etc. are all priced in U.S. dollars.

Therefore in crazy times like this, it enjoys the benefit of being the world’s reserve currency. However, once the global economy finally does return to normal, then this “benefit” will suddenly go away and the dollar will just have to stand on its own fundamentals once again. We all know that once that happens, the buck doesn’t have that much to stand on. Therefore, the “dollar party” may come to an end ONCE the global economy normalizes.

In the mean time, Canada’s currency (and economy) will continue to suffer as the U.S. lays off more workers and continues to slow down. Remember, they derive about 79% of their exports from the U.S. That’s huge! In fact, it’s so huge…it’s the largest trading relationship between two countries according to Canada’s trade department.

This really is huge, because the U.S. hasn’t had three back to back months of layoffs this big since they started keeping records on it back in 1939. So from at least as far as our records go back, this has never happened on this scale before!

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